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Richard Veryard on Uncertainty

2008-08-13 08:31:50 by Tim Bass in The Complex Event Processing Blog
 
...Uncertainty , Richard explores models, reality and uncertainty I dont have time to comment as much as I would like today. However, I would like to conclude that in the process of raw-event to decision-making, there one of the most important factors is the ability to assign likelihood (or certainty) to any detected situation
 
Tags: richard, richard explores models, uncertainty, post faithful representation, assign likelihood, time, seeks, factors, ability
 
 
 
 
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Models and Reductionism - Reducing Clouds Into Streams

2008-04-14 01:17:58 by Greg Reemler in The Complex Event Processing Blog
 
...uncertainty , for example. Most of the current so-called CEP software(on the market today ( including Marc Adlers SQL-based examples )do notperform backwards chaining (with uncertainty). This is also true from other so-called CEP products, likemost forward chainingRETE engines- for example, see this post MarcAdler sayshe is , hunting for...
 
Tags: complex event, complex, software tools, software, cep, cep products, reduce complex, cep software, reduce posets
 
 
 
 
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Around The Web For Friday

2008-09-26 12:56:15 by Alex in RiskAnalys.is
 
...uncertainty. Speaking of accounting for uncertainty Assets Good Until Reached For by Gunnar Peterson If you have a 100,000 dekstops or 100,000 servers it hard to manage. You will need to automate and to do that you need to abstract, but you should also realize that its a drawing on a whiteboard not reality. You need abstraction assurance And...
 
Tags: call abstraction assurance, abstraction assurance, personal risk management, risk management, assurance, itil, itil lacks, cobit rivals itil, software security
 
 
 
 
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A Cryptographer and a Data Communications Guy Talk About Risk Management

2008-10-16 15:32:16 by Alex in RiskAnalys.is
 
...uncertainty (what Ranum calls squishy, and what Ive heard real honest to goodness physicists call noisy). Unfortunately, were going to be like them. Until we can read minds and predict the future, there will always be uncertainty in our measurements and posterior conclusions. The trick is in how you deal with it and express it. And while I...
 
Tags: risk management, management, risk, engineer risk management, methodologies, risk assessment methodologies, risk models, risk analysts, models
 
 
 
 
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Measuring Vulnerability

The Article has images
2008-04-14 14:31:38 by JonesJ in RiskAnalys.is
...Uncertainty Unfortunately, in the real world we usually dont know Which threat agent is going to act next What their capabilities are, or What our resistance capability is going to be Making matters even more challenging We dont have an absolute measurement scale for some threat categories (e.g., human capability Our measurements are...
 
Tags: threat capability curve, capability, human capability, human threat capability, describe control strength, control strength, capability curve, threat community capability, control
 
 
 
 
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Economist.com - Confessions of a Risk Manager

2008-08-11 08:42:00 by Security Retentive in Security Retentive
 
...uncertainty Would You Know a Good decision if You Saw One Decision Making Under Uncertainty
 
Tags: risk, risk manager, risk factors, risk-takers, business, business line, risk managers, risk department, business lines
 
 
 
 
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Innovators, Imitators and Idiots

2008-10-07 08:32:33 by Gunnar Peterson in 1 Raindrop
 
...uncertainty . As our current financial situation shows, its a hard thing to pull off Charlie Rose And should wise people have known better Warren Buffett People should always know better Charlie Rose Yeah Warren Buffett I mean people -- people don't get -- they don't get smarter about things that get as basic as greed and you can't stand to...
 
Tags: risk, oeprational risk, risk events, risk-reward balance, wise people, people, buffett raises, buffett, blind risk acceptance
 
 
 
 
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Making Risk Measures Agree with Accounting 100%

2006-12-26 05:27:00 by Jomni in Risk Management Quant
 
...uncertainty of risk. Because of the future-centric nature of risk measurement, generalizations and simplifications in the models are made and may not necessarily result into exact market values, etc. In risk measurement, benchmark results are acceptable as long as they are reasonable (where you can see the degree of sensitivity to different...
 
Tags: risk, risk software, software, risk measurement, values, exact market values, exact, exact cent, cent
 
 
 
 
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Hedge Funds Semantics

2006-08-25 01:48:00 by Jomni in Risk Management Quant
 
...uncertainty But looking at the hedging instrument individually, it is just as exposed to losses as other instruments. Moreover, derivatives are leveraged and losses are potentially greater than conventional assets. The hedge only takes shape if the hedging instrument is taken together with another position, and their reaction to changes in...
 
Tags: hedge, hedge funds, hedge funds act, funds, conventional funds, assets result, assets, risky investments, conventional assets
 
 
 
 
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What Are the Numbers?

2008-01-07 09:15:52 by Editor in IEEE Security and Privacy
 
Reading Andrew Jaquith's Security Metrics: Replacing Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt will inspire you to start identifying and measuring meaningful computer security performance factors and begin the process of transforming our shaman-like discipline into a science
 
Tags: shaman-like discipline, security metrics, andrew jaquith, uncertainty, fear, doubt, process, science, inspire
 
 
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